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Wednesday 16 April 2014

Mobile broadband – the key growth area for global telecoms industry

 
The ongoing improvements in infrastructure have driven the continuing uptake of mobility and broadband around the world and in 2014 mobile broadband is the fastest growth area overall for the global telecoms sector. But increased usage has caused data traffic jams on the 3G networks because this infrastructure cannot cope with the rapid increase in traffic over the last couple of years.

The release of 4G/LTE mobile broadband will certainly ease the issue in the short term and anticipation of this growing demand has resulted in LTE becoming the fastest developing mobile technology to date.


The global mobile industry has been busy developing amazing applications and services for smart phones and devices over the past few years - but it is important to remember that if the infrastructure cannot handle the capacity then this market will quickly stall. The developed markets are already eating up new spectrum with a voracious appetite and it is expected that the current new spectrum allocations for LTE will start to run out in 3-5 years’ time - and at this stage there is no clear technical solution ahead for the industry. Many see heterogeneous infrastructure as the way forward– in other words, a conglomeration of technology all tied together – and while this will work; the overall quality and reliability of the network is bound to suffer.

The interest in the VoLTE market is expected to accelerate as LTE networks become more mass market. Cellular operators in the US have gone to great lengths to expand LTE availability across the country. As a result, the US will become a key market for VoLTE services in coming years, with operators and consumers alike benefiting from the scale of LTE and LTE-A network footprints. In South Korea in 2013, KT reported that it was also making significant progress in expanding the coverage of its LTE-Advanced (LTE-A) network.


The increasingly important WiFi market is slowly but surely seeing more sophisticated WiFi products emerge. This level of sophistication is occurring in enterprise and carrier markets and also finding its way into the hotspot market - where it will become the critical hub for the rapidly increasing home network market. It must be recognised that WiFi plays a key role in the telecoms environment of the future. The use of WiFi hotspots continues to rise due to increasing popularity from smart phone and mobile device users.

Mobile data traffic is experiencing tremendous growth - with over an 80% increase in global mobile data traffic in 2013 compared to 2012. Led mainly by an increase in mobile video traffic; it is really no surprise that the industry is now beginning to float the idea of 5G infrastructure in order to cope with the increasing demand. While it is not yet clear what form 5G technology will take, there are plenty of industry players expressing an interest in developing this concept further, including companies like Samsung and Ntt DoCoMo.

BuddeComm’s new report, Global Mobile Broadband – Insights and Statistics for a Game Changing Industry, provides important insights into the worldwide mobile broadband industry and includes trends, analyses, statistics and case studies. It provides insights into the fast growing LTE network deployment and the subsequent emerging VoLTE sector. It explores the popular OTT mobile VoIP industry and the growing importance of WiFi to the telecoms sector. Supported by insights and statistics on mobile broadband apps this report also provides valuable information at a regional level including North America, Europe, Middle East, Latin America, Africa and Asia Pacific, written by BuddeComm’s Senior Analysts. Please note: Mobile communications is covered in detail in a separate annual publication.




Examples of key insights:

    • LTE development continues apace and there is no doubt that LTE is going to take a prime position in broadband developments. With competitively priced services, innovative smartphones and an increasing range of very innovative apps this market is set to continue to boom. Japan, South Korea, USA and Scandinavia are just some of the leading markets in terms of LTE.
    • Voice-Over LTE (VoLTE) is an emerging service on LTE networks, particularly in the USA and South Korea.
    • Mobile VoIP is becoming a key area of focus, particularly in Europe and North America.
    • Smartphone users want faster, more ubiquitous and reliable connectivity, while operators are looking to squeeze every last bit of capacity out of their cellular networks. As a result, smarter WiFi is needed so that it can take on a more strategic role as part of the overall mobile network infrastructure. Ultimately users simply want the fastest and most reliable wireless connection they can get.
    • The boom in Wi-Fi is also resulting in a growing WiFi carrier equipment market.
    • In 2014 there are over 2 million apps available from Google Play and Apple app store combined.
    • The take up of 4G/LTE services has been surging in the leading markets of Asia.
    • Mobile operators in the Middle East are improving the region's connectivity, upgrading existing networks with HSPA/LTE technology and utilising well developed product distribution channels, customer base and brand to successfully sell mobile broadband access services, content and applications.
    • The strong growth in mobile broadband data in Europe has been driven by flat rate pricing and the wider availability of HSPA and LTE technologies for consumers.
    • The availability of additional spectrum in the US in recent years has been a necessary catalyst for operators to expand their LTE network footprints.
    • All Canadian MNOs have developed their LTE strategies in recent years.
    • Africa benefits from the presence of a number of mobile players with regional reach.
    • As with Africa, the South American market has a few operators which provide services across the region. The dominant players include América Móvil (Claro) and Telefónica (Movistar).
    • The Australian industry predicts dramatic progress and innovation will occur in key technologies relating to user interfaces, screens and digital cameras. And as technological developments are made, this will continue to fuel growth in consumer demand for very high-speed mobile broadband services.
    • In the Pacific Island countries; WiFi hotspots have been popular among many tourist destinations and are often used as a way of generating income in cafes from tourists.


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Asia - Fixed Telecommunications Infrastructure

 

Asia’s booming mobile and broadband sectors are quietly underpinned by the region’s all-important fixed infrastructure

The changing nature of the telecom market has had a major impact on the approach to investment in infrastructure. With shifting revenue patterns across the market segments and falling ARPUs on many services, operators became considerably more selective about what they actually invest in. Telecom operators throughout Asia have been adjusting investment levels on the back of carefully considered investment strategies. This has seen companies shifting business focus, looking for new ways to add value to existing revenue streams; it has also seen a strong desire to leverage new value from infrastructure that is already in place. This has especially been the case with mobile network moving increasingly to support mobile broadband services and newer generations of mobile technologies.


The governments of Asian nations have long recognised – some earlier than others – that there needed to be some encouragement of private sector investment to meet the demand for the all-important capital needed in the telecom sector. At the same time, it was also generally well recognised that this strategy could not rely on local investment alone, and would inevitably mean a substantial level of foreign investment. Of course, despite this recognition, there has inevitably been some resistance within some administrations to opening up the telecom sector to foreign investors and as a consequence the level of ‘encouragement’ across the region has been variable.

The initial round of substantial investment in telecom infrastructure in Asia was in fixed telephone networks. Over a number of decades the regional economies were progressively building their often quite substantial fixed-line national networks. These fixed networks were in time followed by the building of mobile networks. In many of the developing nations of the region, the building of fixed-line infrastructure was not far advanced before it was overwhelmed by the introduction of mobile infrastructure. This created the phenomenon of ‘substitution’ in many of the markets of Asia (where mobile services perform the function of the limited, or even non-existent, fixed telephone services.) Nevertheless, despite the unevenness in disposition, fixed infrastructure has been and continues to be an important component in the overall development of the region’s telecom sector. Coming into 2014 there were an estimated 500 million fixed-line subscribers in Asia; this was down from a peak of around 570 million in 2009; of course, fixed-line numbers are considerably less than the more than 3 billion mobile subscribers to be found in the region. Whilst the fixed line numbers have gone into an overall decline, in some markets the numbers have continued to increase. Overall, it is anticipated that the decline will continue for a few more years before the market ‘levels off.’


As already suggested, the focus of infrastructure building has been shifting. There has been a major push to upgrade domestic telecoms networks to Next Generation Networks (NGNs). This process has seen large scale investment by Asia’s leading telecoms markets in new-generation IP-based telecommunications networks. At the same time there has been a major surge in infrastructure building as mostly developed economies roll out National Broadband Networks (NBNs). These networks come in various ‘shapes and sizes’ as governments work with operators to tackle the strategic challenge of delivering high speed to the nation. Not surprisingly the NBNs rely heavily upon fibre; in some cases it is Fibre to the Premises (FttP), while in others it might be Fibre to the Node (FttN). And the cost varies accordingly. Those countries that have government backing for NBN roll-out are generally the ones that have been setting the pace.

In addition to the national networks, international connectivity remains central to the overall effectiveness of the region’s telecommunications services. Submarine cable routes criss-cross the Asia Pacific area, providing both intra-regional and inter-regional networks. This sector of the market has been characterised by widely fluctuating supply and demand, which in turn has seen somewhat erratic investment strategies. Submarine projects are subject to this boom and bust market phenomena, with planned projects commonly being delayed or abandoned, consortia being reshaped, etc. In fact, over-supply of capacity has been common in the Asian market. More recently investments have been less speculative and more focused on predicted growth. In the meantime, new submarine cable projects continue being proposed and the cables installed throughout the region. As Asia’s broadband usage surged, a major effort went into managing the shortfall in capacity between Asia and the US. At the same time there has been a shift away from the heavy reliance on the US as a hub for data traffic and this has inevitably resulted in a further change in focus.


As the demand for wholesale services continues to rise in Asia, still driven in the short term by voice, but rapidly being overtaken by data, there has been a boom in IP-based services, with the volume of international Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) traffic into and out of Asia having increased at a rapid rate at the expense of the traditional International Direct Dial (IDD) traffic.


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Australia - E-Health, E-Education, E-Government

 
Digital productivity the next frontier in the economy

Smart Societies based on Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence (AI) developments are accelerating, and astonishing innovations will emerge during the next few years as more companies enter this sector and spend money on developing it. AI applications are already being used in healthcare and gaming, to name just two sectors adopting this cutting edge technology.

These processes are already underway through global interconnection, facilitated by technologies such as the internet, broadband, smartphones and mobility. More importantly for these particular developments is data analytics through M2M (machine-to-machine), which allows for better management of the various aspects of our society. This will lead to interaction between these two developments – and even integration, merging humans and machines. Artificial intelligence has made this increasingly possible.



Some of the predictions and scenarios discussed might not be exactly right, as we are pushing the boundaries of our current level of knowledge. Some issues could attract strong responses from those with different views, and most likely some of the predictions will end up producing completely different outcomes. But what really matters is the discussion itself.

Sector and industry transformation

The digital economy began to take hold a decade or so ago, and some organisations were quick to react, while others were slow. The naysayers saw the impact of the internet on their business as a fad that would soon fade away; others, such as Google, Amazon, Facebook and Yahoo, saw it as the new business model.


A decade later it is clear who was right and who was wrong. The digital economy is here to stay and those who fail to participate will become the road-kill on this superhighway. One of the real threats to traditional business is that those who are embracing the digital economy have an opportunity to grow their business faster, and thus widen the gap between the winners and the losers.

The government sector is also at a crossroads here. Because of their large share in the economy and in national ICT spending governments can drive transformation and innovation in the national economy.  Furthermore, like the business market, governments have to face the reality of transformation. For example, the healthcare sector is rapidly approaching a fiscal cliff. Costs attached to healthcare have grown to a completely unsustainable level.

Only through digital transformation can we afford to maintain our hard-earned lifestyle.

E-Health

Efficiency levels in the healthcare sector are among the lowest in the economy – estimated by IBM to be minus 40%. Through e-health $30 billion can be saved over a 10-year period. Healthcare is clearly becoming an area where key killer applications emerge –  applications that utilise truly high-speed broadband networks.


As the financing of the public health systems in Australia becomes increasingly costly an opportunity exists to lower costs through more effective use of web services for healthcare consumers. With widely available and cost-effective ICT developments in data analytics, M2M and high-speed broadband infrastructure, e-health is enabling customers to benefit from advances in medical technology and medical services.

The Personally Controlled Electronic Health Record (PCEHR) is a key enabler in that policy and a report on these developments is included.

While broader economic conditions in Australia remain subdued, spending on e-health solutions is likely to continue.

In the report we also list the key projects in Australia. We provide an overview of trials, both publicly- and privately-funded, and initiatives in e-health, with an overview of pilot programs as well.

E-Education

Education is seen as one of the main sectors that will benefit from developments in the digital economy, but so far the results of adaptation have been mixed. While new ICT gear has entered the classroom it is being used within the traditional classroom learning system. In order to fully utilise these new technologies a true sector transformation will need to occur.

Good examples can be seen in developing economies where there are little or no traditional systems in place. There, for example, children are using smartphone apps and the internet to bypass these traditional systems; they are basically using the new technology for self-education. Schools are then adapting to these new circumstances. Freely available educational material from many school and university websites around the world is assisting this development.

It is unlikely that the traditional education system will be able to cater for the massive requirements generated by the skills and knowledge acquisition associated with this new environment. Digital adaptation will be needed to break through the old structures.

Perhaps far more threatening are the many social and economic changes taking place in society.  Not only is the traditional education system ill-equipped for this transformational process; the costs involved in running such a system are simply no longer economically viable.

E-Government

Governments are facing revenue and expenditure pressures that will only intensify in the coming decades as the Australian population ages. This is creating an urgent need to reduce costs, particularly in non-frontline areas such as administration. At the same time the public sector is at a crossroads – how services have been delivered in the past, and how they will be delivered in the future. It is also facing structural changes, such as an increasingly mobile workforce and more complex service delivery channels.

To deal with these cost pressures and impending structural changes governments will need to fundamentally change their policy-making and regulatory frameworks, as well as their approach to service delivery. Adopting digital technologies will be central to solving these problems, but it will also require comprehensive reforms to the public sector. But such reforms are not just about cutting costs. Improvements to public sector efficiencies and effectiveness, and reduced administration costs, can also flow on to a healthier national economy and enable improved services in areas such as health and education.

Many countries around the world are now well aware of the importance of e-government and many governments have shown leadership in developing online services. The benefits of e-government applications can include cutting costs and improving processes and information flow, but one of its primary aims is to improve customer service for citizens.

The government policy on the National Broadband Network has also sharpened its focus on the digital economy and the leadership role the government will have to adopt to kick-start developments in the area of e-government. This has resulted in the National Digital Economy Strategy – close to 100 different projects are now being developed under this policy.

The government has also taken a leading role in developing a National Cloud Computing Strategy, which in turn has given the broader industry the confidence needed to start adopting new opportunities that are arising in that area.


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India Pesticides Industry Analysis to 2018 - Led by Advent of Technologically Advanced Biopesticides

 
The report titled India Pesticides Industry Analysis to 2018 Led by Advent of Technologically Advanced Biopesticides provides a detailed overview of the Indian pesticides Industry on the basis of production, consumption and revenue. The report includes coverage on various industry segments including insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, biopesticides, plant growth regulators and rodenticides. The report also features the market share and company profiles of more than 20 major players operating in agro-chemicals business India. The report further elaborates the key trends and developments of the pesticides industry in India over the past few years. Future analysis of this market in the country is provided on the basis of revenue over the next five years from FY2014-FY2018.


The pesticides industry in India has undergone a swift growth and structural change in the product mix in the last few years. Over the years, Indian pesticides industry has developed extensively and has contributed significantly towards Indias agriculture and public health. In value terms, the size of the Indian pesticide industry was estimated around INR ~ million in the year 2012-13, recording growth at a CAGR of ~% from FY2007. The production capacity of the industry is higher than the consumption of pesticides in India thereby showcasing a significant export market. In terms of the supply of pesticides, India ranks fourth globally after the US, Japan and China, thereby indicating the significance of agrochemical industries in India. The crop losses in India due to pest attack are among the highest in the world, while the pesticide usage is among the lowest. However, the governments renewed focus on agriculture, increasing prices of the produce and labor costs have been motivating farmers to use better inputs. 

Insecticides commanded the highest share of ~% resulting in the overall pesticides market revenue, aggregating sales worth INR ~ million during FY2013 followed by herbicides and fungicides with ~% and ~% share respectively. Moreover, the domestic market is majorly held by the generic products accounting for a share of ~% of the industry revenue whereas only ~% of the market is held by patented products as of FY2013.


Furthermore, the pesticides industry in India is anticipated for growth in the coming years on account of the increasing farmer awareness and adoption of approaches such as contract farming and Integrated Pest Management. The market for generic pesticides in India is likely to increase owing to availability of cheap raw materials, process expertise, low operating costs and research and development strengths which will attract many foreign companies in the sector. This will boost investment in research in this sector in the future. An evolving trend in the pesticides market in India is that there is a shifting focus on developing environment-friendly pesticides by the industry as well as the Government. In this regard the share of bio-pesticides which currently forms a minor portion of the market is projected to gain considerable traction in the coming years. Amidst these developments the pesticides market in India is projected to reach at INR 229,800 million in FY2018, observing CAGR of 14.7% from FY2014-FY2018. 

Some of the major factors influencing this market are countries monsoons, food grain production, stature of the countrys agricultural activity, farmers income, flow of institutional credit and others. 
India agrochemicals market is highly fragmented with over 800 formulators. There is intense competition in the market with a large number of organized and unorganized players engaged in manufacturing of agrochemicals in the industry. The share of unorganized sector stands substantially higher at ~% as compared to the organized sector. Some of the major players in the organized sector of the industry include companies such as United Phosphorus Ltd (UPL), Bayer Crop science Ltd, Rallis India Ltd, Syngenta India Ltd, BASF India Ltd and Dhanuka Agritech Ltd and others. 


KEY TOPICS COVERED IN THE REPORT

  • Market Size of Indian Pesticides Market on the basis of production, consumption and Revenue
  • Market Segmentation of Indian Pesticides Market by Types of Pesticides, Organizational Structure, Types of Crops, Region and State Wise Consumption
  • Import and Export trends of pesticides in India
  • Government Regulations in Pesticides Market in India 
  • Market Share of Major Players in India Pesticides Industry, FY2013
  • Trends and Developments of India Pesticides Market.
  • Profiles of Major Players Operating in the Pesticides Business in India.
  • Future Outlook and Projections of the Indian Pesticides Market, FY2014-FY2018
  • Market Size of Indian Biopesticides Market by Consumption in Volume and Revenue
  • Market Segmentation of Biopesticides Market by Microbial and Botanical Biopesticides, FY2013
  • Market segmentation of Biopesticides Market by Organization Structure, Types of Crops, Region-Wise Consumption, FY2013
  • Profiles of Major Players Operating in the biopesticides Business in India, FY2013
  • Future Outlook and Projections of the Indian biopesticides Market, FY2014-FY2018



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Indonesia Construction Equipment Industry Outlook to 2017 - Hydraulic Excavators and Earthmoving Equipments Gaining Traction

 
The report titled Indonesia Construction Equipment Industry Outlook to 2017 Hydraulic Excavators and Earthmoving Equipments Gaining Traction provides a comprehensive analysis of the various aspects such as the market size of the Indonesia construction equipment and segments such as earthmoving and tunneling equipment, mining equipment, building construction equipments, road construction equipment, building material equipment, industry and future outlook of the industry. The report also covers the market shares of major players in Indonesia in excavators, loaders, bulldozers and trucks category.

The construction equipment industry has showcased a stupendous progress over the period of 2006-2012. The growth of the construction equipment market in Indonesia has been driven by a number of factors. The increasing demand for the residential buildings augmented by growing population has been a major growth driver for the revenues of the construction equipment industry. This boom in realty sector has hugely impelled the demand for concrete and building construction equipments. Additionally, surging disposable incomes in the country have provided a strong impetus towards materializing of the luxury projects such as penthouses, villas and others. Moreover, a substantial growth in the urban population of the country has encouraged organized retail culture in Indonesia.

The increasing initiatives of the government in the field of construction have provided a strong impetus to the growth of construction equipment market over the past few years. The Government of Indonesia introduced MP3EI plans for the period of 2011-2025 targeted at the improvement of infrastructure scenario of the country, which had a budget of USD ~ billion. In totality, government has identified 21 major construction projects which will change the infrastructural face of the country in the upcoming years. The aforementioned proposed projects will fuel the demand for road construction and concrete material equipments in the upcoming years in Indonesia.


Indonesia construction equipments market features a highly concentrated landscape, with market shares being majorly distributed amongst five leading players that held a 93.3% share of the total construction equipment market revenues in 2012. The market is marked by the presence of the several international players such as Caterpillar, Komatsu Limited, Kobelco Inc. and others, which have substantially expanded their business arms in Indonesian geography, accounting for a large proportion of the market share in construction equipment market. 

The construction equipment market is expected to showcase an upward growth trend in the upcoming years. Owing to the increasing rate of urbanization in the country, the realty sector is expected to witness a flourishing growth. This strong wave of growth experienced by the residential construction sector is expected lead to a rapid increase in the revenues of building construction and building material equipments in forthcoming years. Revenues from the construction equipment industry in Indonesia are expected to expand to USD ~ million in FY2017, growing with a CAGR of 11.5% from FY2012 to FY2017.


KEY TOPICS COVERED IN THE REPORT

  • The market size of Indonesia construction equipment industry, market size of earthmoving and tunneling equipment market, market size of mining equipment market, market size building construction market, market size of building material market and market size of road construction market. 
  • Market segmentation of Indonesia construction equipment market on the basis of types equipments such as hydraulic excavators, Bulldozers, Motor Grader and Dump Trucks. 
  • Market segmentation of Indonesia construction equipment industry on the revenues from different construction equipments such as earthmoving and tunneling equipments, mining equipments, building construction equipments, building material equipments and road construction equipments. 
  • Market segmentation of earthmoving equipments on the basis of types of equipments such as excavators, bulldozers, dump trucks, loaders and others.
  • Market segmentation of tunneling equipments on the basis of types of equipments such as boring and sinking machines, rock cutting machines and others.
  • Market segmentation of mining equipments on the basis of types of equipments such as excavators, mining trucks, coal cutting machineries, loaders and others.
  • Market segmentation of building construction equipments on the basis of types of equipments such as cranes and lifting equipments, mobile and site-based equipments and others.
  • Market segmentation of building material equipments on the basis of types of equipments such as concrete and cement equipments, aggregate equipments, mixing equipments and others.
  • Market segmentation of road construction equipments on the basis of types of equipments such as rollers, pavers, compactors, tampers and others.
  • Imports and exports of construction equipments such as earthmoving and tunneling, mining equipments, building construction equipments, building material equipments and road construction equipments. 
  • Trends and Developments in Indonesia construction equipment industry by types of equipments such as earthmoving and tunneling, mining equipments, building construction equipments, building material equipments and road construction equipments. 
  • Competitive landscape and detailed company profiles of the major players of construction equipment industry in Indonesia.
  • Market shares of leading players on the basis of revenues in overall construction industry in Indonesia.
  • Market shares of leading players on the basis of revenues in mining industry in Indonesia.
  • Market shares of leading players on the basis of revenues from different types of equipments such as excavators, bulldozers, loaders and trucks. 
  • Future outlook and projections of the construction equipment industry in Indonesia.


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