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Monday, 14 April 2014

Understanding Myanmars Regional Healthcare Markets

Understanding Myanmars Regional Healthcare Markets

Commercial opportunities in Myanmar's healthcare sector are mainly derived from its large unmet medical needs and underinvestment. However, we maintain that significant improvements are required if Myanmar is to realise its ambitious public health insurance scheme. In addition, political uncertainties from the upcoming election in 2015 may also deter investors over the short term.

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Decades of military control have meant that the majority of Myanmar's expenditure has gone into military/defence, with less spent on other sectors including health provision. As a result of low government health expenditure, healthcare access in the country is severely lacking. The country's decision to open up its economy in 2012 has attracted strong foreign interest, and saw the entry of a number of companies including Coca-Cola, British American Tobacco and Carlsberg. Pertaining to the healthcare and pharmaceutical sector, some companies that have expressed interest in the country and/or established operations in the country include: Stada, Sun Pharmaceutical, Parkway Hospital and Apollo Hospitals.

Low government health expenditure, coupled with continued unrest and tension in various parts of Myanmar (e.g. Rahkine state), mean that unequal access to healthcare services will continue across the country. In addition, given that most investment will be concentrated in major developed cities such as Yangon, Mandalay and Naypyitaw, BMI believes that firms will opt to gain entry into these areas. Consequently, healthcare provision will improve in these regions rather than other rural locations, such as Chin state, Tanintharyi Region and Kayah State.

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Table of Content

BMI View 9
Economic Analysis 10
Policy Jurisdiction A Concern 10
Dawei A Reflection Of Frontier Difficulties 11
Key Cities To Reap Growth Benefits First 12

Industry Forecast 14
Healthcare Market Forecast 14
Table: Overall Healthcare Expenditure Forecast, 2009-2017 15
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure, 2009-2017 15
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure, 2009-2017 16

10 Year Forecasts 17
Reforms The Key To Success 17
Inflation A Potential Spanner In The Works 19
Entire Story Still Hinges Upon Uncertain Political Future 20

Political Outlook 21
Table: Table: Myanmar Political Overview 27

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Demographic Forecast 28
Table: Myanmar\'s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (\'000) 29
Table: Myanmar\'s Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 29
Table: Myanmar\'s Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 30
Table: Myanmar\'s Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 30

Sub-National Demographic Forecast 31
Table: Myanmar Region & State Population, mn 33
Table: Myanmar Live Hospital Births By Region & State 34
Table: Myanmar Deaths By Region & State 35
Table: Myanmar Historic Demographic Data 35
Table: Myanmar Healthcare Admissions and Facilities 36
Table: Myanmar Heath Personnel 37

Ayeyarwady Region 38
Table: Population 38
Table: Hospitals 38
Table: Hospital Admissions Activity & Admissions 39
Table: Historical Demographic Data 39

Bago Region 40
Table: Population, % Of Myanmar Total 40
Table: Hospitals 40
Table: Hospital Admissions Activity & Admissions 41
Table: Historical Demographic Data 41

Chin State 42
Table: Population, % Of Myanmar Total 42
Table: Hospitals 42

Understanding Myanmar\'s Regional Healthcare Markets Mar 2014
Table: Hospital Admissions Activity & Admissions 43
Table: Historical Demographic Data 43

Kachin State 44
Table: Population, % of Myanmar Total 44
Table: Hospitals 44
Table: Hospital Admissions Activity & Admissions 45
Table: Historical Demographic Data 45

Kayah State 46
Table: Population 46
Table: Hospitals 46
Table: Hospital Admissions Activity & Admissions 47
Table: Historical Demographic Data 47

Kayin (Karen) State 48


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