Driven by in-building wireless
coverage requirements and the growing influx of mobile broadband data
traffic, a traditional macrocell based cellular network deployment is
not deemed to be a sufficient solution to address the coverage and
capacity needs of today’s wireless subscribers.
Wireless carriers are thus exploring
options to offload additional coverage and capacity to alternatives such
as strategically deployed small cells and WiFi access points, which
have so far been deployed by more than 150 global wireless carriers.
Adding further to the heterogeneity are alternative deployment models
such as Distributed Antenna Systems (DAS) and the emerging Cloud Radio
Access Networks (RAN) architecture which concentrates the processing of
the RAN segment of a mobile network in one or more centralized data
centers.
Driven by the thriving ecosystem, we
expect small cells and carrier WiFi deployments to account for nearly
$352 Billion in mobile data service revenues by the end of 2020, while
overall spending on HetNet infrastructure is expected to reach $42
Billion annually during the same period.
This report presents an in-depth
assessment of the global small cells and carrier WiFi market, together
with an evaluation of the DAS and Cloud RAN technology. In addition to
covering the technology, business case, the challenges, standardization
initiatives, the industry’s roadmap, value chain analysis, deployment
case studies, vendor service/product strategies and strategic
recommendations, the report also presents comprehensive forecasts for
the market from 2013 till 2020, including individual revenue and
shipment projections of small cells, carrier WiFi, small cell backhaul,
Small Cells as a Service (SCaaS), DAS, Cloud RAN, Self-Organizing
Network (SON) and mobile data services across six geographical regions.
Also provided are historical figures
for 2010, 2011 and 2012. The report comes with an associated XLS
datasheet covering quantitative data from all figures presented within
the report.
Key Findings
- Small cells, carrier WiFi, DAS and Cloud RAN infrastructure investments will account for a $42 Billion HetNet ecosystem by 2020
- Small cells and carrier WiFi deployments are expected to carry more
than 60% of all mobile network data traffic by 2020, which will account
for $352 Billion in mobile data service revenue
- At present, the small cells and carrier WiFi infrastructure value
chain is highly fragmented with ‘pure-play’ and incumbent macrocell
vendors battling to gain a higher share of the market
- SNS Research expects the value chain to consolidate over the coming
years following several future acquisitions such as the recent takeover
of Ubiquisys by Cisco
- Eyeing the momentum behind small cell deployments, several DAS
vendors (such as BTI Wireless) are now entering the small cell market
- While it is a preferred opinion among wireless carriers, aggregating
outdoor small cell backhaul with macrocell infrastructure may prove to
be a well challenging task. Consequently the demand for small cell
backhauling has opened a new opportunity for investment, which will be a
market worth nearly $6 Billion by 2020.
Topics Covered
- Small cell, carrier WiFi, DAS, Cloud RAN, Mobile Content Distribution Networks (CDNs) & HetNet technology and architecture
- Integration and offloading technology for carrier WiFi and small cells
- Market drivers and key benefits of small cells and carrier WiFi
Challenges and Inhibitors to the small cells and carrier WiFi ecosystem
- Small cell and carrier WiFi industry roadmap: 2010 – 2020
- Small cell and carrier WiFi value chain
- Vendor landscape and acquisitions
- Small cell and carrier WiFi deployment models
- Vertical markets for small cell and carrier WiFi deployments
- Small cell backhaul technology, requirements and key issues
- Standardization and regulatory initiatives
- Small Cells as a Service (SCaaS)
- Small cells, SCaaS and carrier WiFi deployment case studies
- Industry, wireless carrier and vendor commitments to small cells and carrier WiFi
- Self-Organizing Network (SON) technology
Profiles and market positioning
assessment (current strategy, target market and products/services) for
the following players in the HetNet market: ‘Pure-Play’ and specialist
small cell vendors, DAS & repeater solution providers, carrier WiFi
focused vendors, Cloud RAN solution providers, HetNet focused SON
solution providers, Wireless network (Macrocell, Core) infrastructure
vendors, chipset, software & component vendors, technology
providers, WiFi network providers and small cell backhaul solution
providers
Conclusion and strategic recommendations for HetNet solution vendors, wireless carriers and macrocell infrastructure vendors.
Market analysis and forecasts for the industry’s revenue including the following submarkets:
- Small Cells
- Carrier WiFi
- Small Cell Backhaul
- Small Cells as a Service (SCaaS)
- Distributed Antenna Systems (DAS)
- Cloud RAN
- Self-Organizing Network (SON) Solutions
- Mobile Network Data Service
Small cell forecasts (unit shipments, revenue, installed base) are categorized in the following categories:
- RAN Technology
- GSM/W-CDMA/HSPA
- CDMA-2000/EV-DO
- LTE FDD
- TD-LTE
- WiMAX
- Deployment Model
Home/Residential
- Enterprise
- Metro
- Rural
- Cell Size
Femtocells
Carrier WiFi forecasts (unit shipments, revenue, installed base) are categorized in the following categories:
- Equipment Category
- Access Points
- Access Point Controllers
- Integration Approach
Managed WiFi Offload
Unmanaged ‘Open Access’ WiFi
Small cell backhaul forecasts (revenue) are categorized in the following technology categories:
- Ethernet over Copper
- Ethernet over Fiber
- DSL modems and DSLAMs
- Non Line of Sight (NLOS) Microwave (Sub-6GHz spectrum)
- Point to Point (PTP) Microwave (6-60GHz)
- Point to Multipoint (PTMP) Microwave (6-60GHz)
- Millimeter Wave (Unlicensed 60GHz spectrum)
- Millimeter Wave (Licensed 60GHz spectrum)
- Satellite
Mobile network data service forecasts
(throughput and revenue) are categorized in the following access network
technology categories:
- Macrocell Network
- Small Cells
- Carrier WiFi
- DAS
Regional forecasts are categorized in the following 6 categories
- North America
- Asia Pacific
- Western Europe
- Eastern Europe
- Middle East & Africa
- Latin & Central America
Key Questions Answered
- What are the key market drivers and challenges in the small cells and carrier WiFi market and the wider HetNet ecosystem?
- How big is the HetNet market, and how much revenue will it generate in 2020?
- What will be the installed base of small cells and carrier WiFi access points in 2020?
- Which geographical regions offer the greatest growth potential for HetNet deployments?
- What is the service revenue for mobile data services delivered over
small cells and carrier WiFi, and how will this vary overtime?
- How are investments on DAS technology impacting the small cells and carrier WiFi market?
- What is the Cloud RAN concept, and how does it affect the small cells and carrier WiFi market?
- Which technology will be predominant in the small cell backhaul
ecosystem and is there a market for satellite based small cell backhaul?
- Is there a market for rural small cell deployments?
- How big is the opportunity for Small Cells as a Service (SCaaS)?
- How is the HetNet value chain structured and how will it evolve overtime?
- What opportunities does the HetNet ecosystem offer to infrastructure vendors and other players involved in the value chain?
- What strategies should infrastructure vendors and wireless carriers adopt to capitalize on the HetNet opportunity?
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